@article{60111,
  author = {Kristopher W. Ramsay},
  title = {Information, Uncertainty, and War},
  abstract = { <p>
	In this review I focus on two literature in this broad set of research that are related to two ~classic arguments in security studies and show how new modeling techniques have allowed us to build ~theories helping us better understand age old questions about the effect of uncertainty on the likelihood of war. ~ ~While many issues remain unresolved, these two literature make steps toward explaining different ways uncertainty ~can matter for the decision to go to war. ~These analyses help us clarify, if not complete answer, questions like: what does it mean for mutual optimism it case war? ~How might we incorporate bounded rationality rigorously in our models of choice if we think it is a crucial element linking uncertainty to war? ~And how might fear of other{\textquoteright}s intentions or uncertainty about fundamentals, like the technology of war, led to cascades of fear and spirals of conflictual behavior?
</p>
 },
  year = {2017},
  journal = {Annual Review of Political Science},
  volume = {20},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-polisci-051215-022729},
}